Steve Melewski

Analyst bullish on DL Hall, but future role is a question

Analyst bullish on DL Hall, but future role is a question
There is no doubt that the combination of an injury that limited him to seven starts last season and trouble at times in his career with control and command have dropped Orioles lefty pitching prospect DL Hall a bit on some top 100 prospects lists. But he hasn't dropped on all of them, and on one list, he actually moved way up, even though the outlet feels he could end up pitching in the bullpen in the majors. This is an interesting guy for publications to rank. Before 2021, Baseball...
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Steve Melewski

One analyst's take on O's No. 1 farm rankings

One analyst's take on O's No. 1 farm rankings
When FanGraphs.com placed six Orioles among its top 69 prospects this week in their ranking of the top 100 in baseball, it was certainly an impressive haul for the O's. But they were not the first outlet to rank six Orioles in the top 100, as ESPN beat them to it by a few days and the O's placed a half-dozen players among the top 98 in baseball. Six Orioles were in the ESPN top 100: 1 - Adley Rutschman 8 - Grayson Rodriguez 74 - Colton Cowser 94 - DL Hall 96 - Gunnar Henderson 98 - Coby...
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Steve Melewski

Farm system on the move: O's get No. 5 ranking

Farm system on the move: O's get No. 5 ranking
In January, it was a nice moment and recognition for the Orioles player development operation when it achieved its highest ranking ever in Baseball America's organizational rankings. They came in at No. 7 among all 30 clubs. On Thursday, MLBPipeline.com released its latest top 10 and the Orioles came in at No. 5. Yep, they keep movin' on up. The goal, set by executive vice president and general manager Mike Elias in his first day on the job, was to build an elite talent pipeline. These...
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Mark Zuckerman

How Nats pitchers are projected to perform in 2019

How Nats pitchers are projected to perform in 2019
Yesterday, we looked at FanGraphs.com's' Steamer projections for the Nationals' primary position players, an interesting assortment of optimism and pessimism, depending on the individual. Today we'll look at those projections for the Nationals pitching staff. Fair warning: This one trends more toward the pessimistic end of the spectrum. Here we go ... MAX SCHERZER Actual 2018 stats: 18-7, 2.53 ERA, 220.2 IP, 300 SO, 0.91 WHIP, 7.2 WAR Steamer 2019 projection: 15-8, 3.13 ERA, 208 IP, 271 SO,...
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Mark Zuckerman

How Nats position players are projected to hit in 2019

How Nats position players are projected to hit in 2019
As spring training draws closer and closer, it's reasonable to start wondering what kind of seasons individual players are likely to produce. No, we still don't know every player who will be part of the Nationals' 2019 roster, but we do know the vast majority of them at this point. Projecting stats from year to year is a tricky business, but there are no shortage of analytical formulas out there that attempt to do just this. One of the most popular is FanGraphs.com's Steamer projections,...
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Pete Kerzel

No lack of ideas for fixing Zimmerman's offensive woes

No lack of ideas for fixing Zimmerman's offensive woes
WEST PALM BEACH, Fla. - Everyone seems to agree that Ryan Zimmerman has some work to do to rebound from the worst offensive year of his 12-year major league career. Teams need power from first base, and Zimmerman's .218/.272/.2370 slash line, 15 homers and 46 RBIs left something to be desired. Problem is, there are different thoughts as to what Zimmerman should do. Dusty Baker thinks the 32-year-old needs to be more aggressive instead of employing a selective approach. Last season, Baker...
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Mark Zuckerman

Projection models split on Nationals and Mets in NL East

Projection models split on Nationals and Mets in NL East
As equipment trucks (not to mention a handful of early-arriving players) across America make their way to Arizona and Florida, anticipation for the 2017 baseball season perks up. As do season projections by various stat-based sites. FanGraphs.com and Baseball Prospectus have both published their 2017 projections. They do not, however, agree on the identity of the top dog in the National League East division. FanGraphs likes the Nationals, projecting 90 wins and a plus-86 run differential for...
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Steve Melewski

A look at the O's rotation and left field outlook

A look at the O's rotation and left field outlook
Here is a good question about the Orioles' starting rotation: How many jobs are available to be won right now? Are there two, one or none? For a while, and it still may hold true, Miguel Gonzalez's spot was shaky with his spring struggles. That meant pitchers like Tyler Wilson, Mike Wright, Odrisamer Despaigne and Vance Worley could be chasing one potential rotation opening. Then right-hander Kevin Gausman received a cortisone injection for shoulder tendinitis. So does that mean two spots are...
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Steve Melewski

Are projections for tight AL East race more reason to pursue Gallardo, Fowler?

Are projections for tight AL East race more reason to pursue Gallardo, Fowler?
There has been plenty of debate as to whether the Orioles should or should not sign pitcher Yovani Gallardo and/or outfielder Dexter Fowler. One big reason in favor of doing so for me is that they could push the Orioles over the hump in the American League East. Right now, the division looks very even and open from top to bottom. You could rank teams in almost any order and who could argue? If you see the Orioles in last place with 78 wins, you have some justification to say so. You see them as...
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Steve Melewski

Comparing the O's 40-man roster construction to the rest of MLB

Comparing the O's 40-man roster construction to the rest of MLB
FanGraphs.com took an in-depth look at the 40-man roster makeup of every Major League Baseball team. The findings show that the Orioles' 40-man roster construction mirrors that of many other teams. FanGraphs lists 11 Orioles as being acquired by the team through the First-Year Player Draft, with the major league average at 12. It lists seven added via free agency (with the MLB average at seven). There are 13 Orioles that were acquired through a trade (average is 14). There are three added via...
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Steve Melewski

One publication ranks Orioles schedule as toughest in majors

One publication ranks Orioles schedule as toughest in majors
Is strength of schedule important in baseball? Even if it is, how do you quantify it? For me, yes, there is some importance to it, but the quantifying part is the difficult part. Strength of schedule can have some significance with an unbalanced schedule as it relates to getting one of the two wild card berths. Since all teams play more than 50 percent of their games within their division, it stands to reason that if you are in a very tough division, you are at a disadvantage against a team...
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Steve Melewski

A look at some possible reasons for predictions the O's will have a poor season

A look at some possible reasons for predictions the O's will have a poor season
Don't worry, Orioles fans, I am honestly not trying to get your blood pressure elevated and I'm not trolling you. But I do want to spend some time today discussing this topic: O's season predictions. Keep in mind this very, very important fact: Predictions are interesting to look at and debate, but they mean nothing. If you don't believe me just go back to some predictions for last year, which missed on the Orioles by a mile. But even after the Orioles posted 96 wins, an American League...
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