Some stats and thoughts as everyone tries to forget Thursday’s rain-soaked, 10-inning loss to the Giants and looks ahead to tonight’s series opener against Anthony Rendon and the Angels …

* What’s the biggest reason the Nationals haven’t played as well over the last month as they did earlier this summer? The quality of the performances by their starting pitchers has gone dramatically downhill.

The emergence of a young rotation was the top storyline of the season’s first half, and there was a lot to like about the way MacKenzie Gore, Jake Irvin, Mitchell Parker and DJ Herz were not only pitching well but also pitching relatively deep into games. Over a 40-game stretch from May 22-July 4, the Nats had 17 quality starts (three or fewer earned runs over six or more innings). Unsurprisingly, the team’s record during that stretch was 20-20.

What’s happened since? Over their last 29 games, the Nationals have only five quality starts. Their record, unsurprisingly, is only 12-17 during this prolonged stretch.

Abbreviated outings have especially become a problem in recent weeks, with starters failing to complete five innings in 10 of the last 29 games. In other words, the Nats have been twice as likely to get fewer than five innings than a quality start for the last month.

TORONTO – Coming into the rubber match of their series at Toronto tonight, the Orioles had lost just one American League East series in 10 tries this year and just one in their past 24 division series dating to early April of 2023.

If there was a player who could change that it would be Toronto’s Vladimir Guerrero Jr. Hitting against a team he loves to torment, Guerrero homered and added a double and triple with four RBIs tonight as Toronto beat the Orioles 7-6 in front of 27,910 at Rogers Center.

Even with Guerrero's monster night at the plate, the O's had a chance to steal the series in the ninth inning. Trailing 7-2 at the turn of the ninth, the Orioles loaded the bases behind three consecutive singles from Ryan O'Hearn, Adley Rutschman and Ryan Mountcastle. 

Then the runs followed. Jackson Holliday drove in a run with a groundout, Cedric Mullins doubled in another and then Colton Cowser singled for two more. It was quickly 7-6. And with the O's homer leader, Anthony Santander coming up. 

But righty reliever Chad Green got the final out as he induced Santander to fly to center on a 2-2 fastball and Toronto hung on. The O's rally fell a run short.  

Since early last season, the Orioles have lost just one American League East series. They need a win tonight at Rogers Centre for that stat to continue. Right before the All-Star break the O's lost a series to the Yankees. But they are 17-1-6 in their past 24 division series. 

They went 32-20 in AL East games last year and are 24-11 this season heading into this series finale. The O's are 7-5 against Toronto and 12-4 in AL East road games.

After losing Tuesday in Toronto 5-2 as they were held to three hits, they won 7-3 last night when they hit three homers.

With last night's win, the Orioles have clinched a second straight season series win over the Blue Jays. This is the first time they’ve accomplished that since winning the season series in 2012, 2013 and 2014.

From 2020-2022, they went 16-32 against Toronto. But since the start of 2023, they are 17-8 versus the Blue Jays. 

TORONTO - As he keeps mashing homers – he’s now hit a career-high 34 with a lot of games to play – O’s outfielder Anthony Santander is sure having a great “walk year.”

That is the year that leads into a player becoming a free agent and Santander can be that at the end of this season for the first time. Not a bad time to be putting up big numbers and making great plays on defense.

Once again today he expressed that he wants to remain an Oriole beyond 2024 but also acknowledges “that is out of my hands.”

Last night Santander hit two more homers and made a great catch to rob Vladimir Guerrero Jr. of extra bases and preserve what was at the time a one-run lead. The O’s beat Toronto 7-3 and Santander was a big reason for that.

He is now batting .248/.311/.540/.851. His 34 homers are second in the American League and tied for second the majors.

With the threat of rain looming all day, the Nationals hoped their decision to move first pitch of today’s series finale against the Giants up from 4:05 p.m. to 12:05 p.m. would give them the best chance of playing the entire game. The only question was how long it would take for the game to be played, and how many times it would be disrupted by the weather.

In the end, it took nearly 5 1/2 hours of actual time, two disruptions totaling 2 hours, 2 minutes – one of them coming in the third inning, one in the eighth – and then dueling, last-ditch, three-run rallies in the ninth inning before the Nationals handed the game to the Giants in an ugly top of the 10th.

Despite getting an emotional lift from Luis García’s clutch, three-run homer that forced extra innings, the Nats still lost 9-5 when they failed to make three consecutive plays in the infield, allowing the winning run (plus three more) to score.

"It was good until it wasn't," said manager Davey Martinez, whose team was charged with four errors, three of them in the ninth and 10th, the final five runs surrendered all unearned. "We played in sloppy conditions, and we got sloppy in the last two innings."

A game that had been knotted at 2-2 since the fifth turned on its head in the ninth. Twice. The Giants got a bases-clearing double from Mark Canha on a 1-2, two-out pitch from Kyle Finnegan to take what looked like a commanding, three-run lead. Then García drove a 1-2, two-out pitch from Camilo Doval into the first row beyond the left field wall for a three-run, game-tying homer in the bottom of the inning.

TORONTO - The Orioles have gone 7-1-2 in 10 American League East series this year, losing just one. Tonight they play the rubber match game against Toronto after splitting the first two games of this series.

The Orioles are 7-5 versus the Blue Jays and have won the season series. They are 24-11 against division opponents. They have not lost a road AL East series, going 3-0-1 in four series and 12-4 in those games.

In tonight's series finale, Colton Cowser will bat leadoff again, Anthony Santander will serve as the DH as Ryan O'Hearn moves from left to right field. Ramón Urías starts at third base, batting ninth. 

Five players in the majors have now hit 30 or more homers. Santander, at 34, ranks second in the AL and tied for second in MLB in home runs.

MLB homer leaders:

Alex Call had already made one diving catch to end an inning, not to mention singled twice and produced the Nationals’ first run of Wednesday night’s game against the Giants. Eleven days into his latest stint in the big leagues, the 29-year-old outfielder had done just about everything that could be asked of him, providing a welcome spark for a roster that had just lost Lane Thomas and Jesse Winker to trades.

So when Jerar Encarnacion drove a ball deep to right field in the top of the eighth Wednesday, few would’ve faulted Call had he pulled up at the wall, played the ball on a bounce and held Encarnacion to a double.

For Call, that was never really an option.

“I think about making those plays on every pitch, because that really locks you in,” he said. “Playing the outfield, it’s tough sometimes just to stay locked in. That’s how I do it: I think of plays like that. So when you get the opportunity, you see the ball in the air, you run it down. … I’ve been running for a while. I’m still running. The wall’s coming. … And then it just happens and you make the catch and you can feel really good about it. Because that’s how I want to play and how I want to do.”

Call’s leaping catch brought a roar from the crowd and raised arms from his teammates. It also left him on the ground after absorbing the impact of the particular part of the wall he struck, right where the out-of-town scoreboard meets the green padding.

They managed to play the first three games of this series without interruption. Can they actually pull it off and complete the series without issues? The Nationals are sure hoping their decision to move today’s game against the Giants up from 4:05 p.m. to 12:05 p.m. pays off. The forecast isn’t great, but hopefully whatever rain falls this afternoon isn’t enough to completely disrupt the game.

The Nats are also hoping for a four-game split, not to mention a better start out of DJ Herz today than they got from Patrick Corbin, MacKenzie Gore or Jake Irvin each of the last three nights. Each of those starters allowed at least three runs in the first three innings, with the home run a huge problem. Herz kept the ball in the park in his last outing against the Brewers, during which he allowed one unearned run and only two hits over five innings. A comparable effort today against a Giants lineup that has never seen him before would be wonderful.

At the plate, the Nationals need to channel the at-bats they put together Tuesday night while exploding for 11 runs. They actually did a decent job Wednesday against Blake Snell and the San Francisco bullpen, though they squandered a few late opportunities to rally. Today the opponent is fellow left-hander Kyle Harrison, who faced them back in April and allowed three runs over six innings but struck out eight without walking anybody.

WASHINGTON NATIONALS vs. SAN FRANCISCO GIANTS
Where: Nationals Park
Gametime: 12:05 p.m. EDT
TV: MASN, MLB.tv
Radio: 106.7 FM, 88.7 FM (Spanish), MLB.com
Weather: Rain, 79 degrees, wind 9 mph in from right field

NATIONALS
SS CJ Abrams
RF Alex Call
1B Juan Yepez
C Keibert Ruiz
LF James Wood
DH Harold Ramírez
3B Ildemaro Vargas
2B Luis García Jr.
CF Jacob Young

TORONTO – The kid did it again. Jackson Holliday hit yet another homer off the Toronto Blue Jays and this one was huge.

With the Orioles down 3-2 in the seventh, Holliday connected on a two-run shot – his fourth in seven games since rejoining the club – and the O’s had a 4-3 lead.

Anthony Santander provided insurance, with a solo homer in the eighth, his second home run of the game. It came not long after he made a leaping catch against the right-field wall in the seventh to rob Vladimir Guerrero Jr. The robbery came with a man on second and two outs, which preserved the 4-3 lead.

The O’s bullpen got the outs late to make it stand up as the Orioles beat the Toronto Blue Jays 7-3 to even this three-game series.

They improved to 68-47 and are 10-9 since the All-Star break. The Orioles are 24-11 in AL East games and 12-4 in division road games.

There wasn’t much of anything Jake Irvin could do about the two runs the Giants scored off him during a sequence of unfortunate events in the top of the third tonight at Nationals Park. There was quite a bit he could’ve done about the three runs that scored off him the next two innings, ultimately the decisive runs in the home team’s 7-4 loss.

Needing a top-flight effort to keep pace with San Francisco ace Blake Snell, Irvin was done in by a string of well-placed hits in the third but then three solo homers after that. It was the right-hander’s fourth subpar start out of his last six, a stretch that is threatening to undo what was a breakthrough first half for the 27-year-old.

"The defense played outstanding. The offense put up some numbers against a Cy Young winner and really good pitcher," Irvin said. "And I let the team down."

The Nationals, meanwhile, failed to carry over any positive momentum from their blowout victory Tuesday night and now need to win Thursday’s rescheduled series finale – first pitch has been moved up to 12:05 p.m. in hopes of beating the worst of the forecasted rain – to salvage a four-game split with the Giants.

"This is a tough time of year, for everybody," manager Davey Martinez said. "And I know they're grinding. These guys are grinding, and they're figuring some stuff out."

TORONTO - After losing both a game and pitcher Grayson Rodriguez to injury last night, the Orioles have to figure night two in Toronto will go better for them. 

Now in second place for the first time in over a month (since June 26), the Orioles 67-47 are now 33-22 on the road and 6-5 against Toronto.

The Birds had won the last two games at Cleveland but have now lost three of five and nine of their past 16 games. They are 9-9 since the All-Star break.

The Orioles are 23-11 in American League East games and 11-4 in division games on the road. They are 3-0-1 in four AL East road series. To not lose their first one of the year, they'll need two straight wins at Rogers Centre.

The Orioles had scored 16 runs on 30 hits on Saturday and Sunday in Cleveland and they went 3-for-29 at-bat last night. Jackson Holliday's solo homer to right-center in the sixth was Baltimore's first hit and the Orioles went 1-for-4 with runners in scoring position.

TORONTO - O's right-hander Grayson Rodriguez, scratched from his start last night at Rogers Centre, went on the 15-day injured list today, retroactive to Sunday with right lat/teres discomfort. But today O's skipper Brandon Hyde was optimistic he will return this season.

“It’s a mild strain," Hyde said of Rodriguez, who is 13-4 with a 3.86 ERA. "So, he’s going to miss some time. Shut him down for a little while. Get him some rest and recovery, get him some rehab. But I think we’re optimistic about it. Hopefully he is going to join us sometime soon. That has yet to be determined. We’re going to let him rest for a little bit before we crank him back up."

Is this situation less serious than in 2022 when Rodriguez missed three months at Triple-A with a lat strain?

“It seems to be. Seems to be,” said Hyde. “Diagnosing right now as a mild strain. Never know what the timetable is going to be. But hope that he can miss just some time and then rejoin us."

Right-hander Albert Suárez, who pitched five scoreless in the series opener is the strong candidate to stay in that rotation spot.

The Orioles have made the following roster move:

• Agreed to terms on a 2024 Minor League contract with INF J.D. Davis.

If the longtime baseball axiom is true and momentum really is only as good as your next day’s starting pitcher, the Nationals recognize their explosive offensive showing Tuesday night means nothing heading into tonight’s game against Giants ace Blake Snell.

Hence, Davey Martinez’s lineup for this one bears little resemblance to the one that busted out for 11 runs only 24 hours ago.

Luis García Jr. isn’t starting against the left-handed Snell. Neither is Keibert Ruiz or Travis Blankenhorn. Alex Call is suddenly batting second, with Ildemaro Vargas fifth. James Wood, on the heels of a historic performance, was dropped to the sixth spot, behind Vargas.

“I wanted to get righties up there in the lineup,” Martinez said. “Give those guys a chance. I always say try to get the starter. It gives us a chance to try to beat him today.”

This isn’t necessarily anything new for Martinez, who regularly sits García against lefties because of the 218-point difference in his OPS. Vargas, meanwhile, bats .305 with a .767 OPS against left-handers, better than Wood’s .239 and .683 marks.

TORONTO - Lefty Trevor Rogers (2-10, 4.76 ERA) will make his second O's start tonight as the Orioles look to even their series with the Toronto Blue Jays at Rogers Centre. Alejandro Kirk hit a three-run homer off lefty reliever Gregory Soto in the sixth inning last night as Toronto beat the Orioles 5-2.

Now 67-47, the Orioles are a half-game behind the Yankees for the division lead. They are not in first place - tied or alone - for the first time since June 26.

Rogers gave up six hits and five runs over 4 1/3 innings on Thursday at Cleveland in his O's debut. He threw 94 pitches in that outing at Progressive Field.

In one career start against Toronto, he allowed five hits and three runs in five innings.

The O's were held to two runs and three hits in the series-opener at Rogers Centre after scoring 16 runs on 30 hits in the last two games at Cleveland. Over their previous 12 games heading into this series, the O's offense was scoring 6.4 runs per game, batting .291 and with an OPS of .859 as a team. But they went just 3-for-29 last night.

The Orioles made the predictable roster move this afternoon by placing starter Grayson Rodriguez on the 15-day injured list retroactive to Sunday with right lat/teres discomfort, the reason why he didn’t pitch last night.

The unexpected also happened with outfielder Heston Kjerstad going on the 10-day injured list with concussion symptoms.

Kjerstad was optioned Thursday to Triple-A Norfolk, ending his third career major league stretch, but he didn’t report to the club. He’s dealing with the lingering effects of the Clay Holmes pitch that slammed into his ear flap and led to his placement on the seven-day concussion injured list on July 13.

The Orioles activated Kjerstad on July 20 and he went 2-for-18.

Today’s move, retroactive to Thursday, basically is a reversal of the option. He’s on the major league injured list.

It’s been a brutally hot summer here, but it hasn’t rained all that much. At least, not enough to have a major impact on Nationals games. That may change over the next three days, with what’s left of Hurricane Debby making its way up the coast and projected to impact the region from later this evening through sometime Friday. The Nats already announced Thursday’s series finale against the Giants has been moved from 4:05 p.m. to 12:05 p.m. in hopes of beating the rain. It remains to be seen if that proactive move will actually pay off. Fingers crossed.

First up, though, is tonight’s regularly scheduled 6:45 p.m. game, and the Nats face a daunting challenge in Blake Snell. The reigning National League Cy Young Award winner no-hit the Reds five days ago, the first time in his career he tossed a complete game. And that was merely the culmination of an utterly dominant stretch: Over his last five starts, Snell has allowed two runs on eight hits, striking out 41 over 33 innings. Yes, the Nats had a big night at the plate Tuesday. That may have no impact on their performance tonight.

Jake Irvin will need to be the best version of himself to give his team a chance tonight. The right-hander got off to a rough start in last outing, allowing three early runs to the Brewers. But he salvaged it and wound up allowing only one more run in 5 2/3 innings. He faced the Giants twice last season and was excellent: three runs, 10 hits, 14 strikeouts over 13 innings.

WASHINGTON NATIONALS vs. SAN FRANCISCO GIANTS
Where: Nationals Park
Gametime: 6:45 p.m. EDT
TV: MASN, MLB.tv
Radio: 106.7 FM, 88.7 FM (Spanish), MLB.com
Weather: Rain arriving, 80 degrees, wind 10 mph in from right field

NATIONALS
SS CJ Abrams
RF Alex Call
1B Juan Yepez
DH Harold Ramírez
2B Ildemaro Vargas
LF James Wood
C Riley Adams
CF Jacob Young
3B Trey Lipscomb

The Orioles have made the following roster moves:

• Recalled RHP Bryan Baker from Triple-A Norfolk.
• Placed RHP Jacob Webb on the 15-day Injured List (right elbow inflammation), retroactive to August 4.

The Orioles have made the following roster moves:

• Recalled LHP Keegan Akin from Triple-A Norfolk.
• Placed OF Heston Kjerstad on the 10-day Injured List (concussion), retroactive to August 1.
• Placed RHP Grayson Rodriguez on the 15-day Injured List (right lat/teres discomfort), retroactive to August 4.

The Orioles made a move today to address their infield depth.

A source confirmed that J.D. Davis has signed a minor league deal. The Yankees released him last week.

No, he can’t pitch.

Davis, 31, is a right-handed hitter with a career .257/.340/.425 line in eight major league seasons. He’s hit 72 home runs, including 22 with the Mets in 2019 and 18 with the Giants last year.

The Athletics signed Davis on March 16 and traded him to the Yankees on June 23. He batted a combined .218/.293/.338 in 46 games and was 2-for-19 with nine strikeouts with New York.